Northrop Grumman Stock: Is NOC Underperforming the Industrial Sector?

Northrop Grumman Corp_ phone and logo-by T_Schneider via Shutterstock

With a market cap of $69.3 billion, Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is a leading global aerospace and defense technology company that specializes in delivering innovative solutions across a wide range of domains, including air, sea, space, and cyberspace. It offers cutting-edge products and systems in areas such as autonomous systems, cyber, intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance, and missile defense. 

Companies valued at $10 billion or more are generally considered “large-cap” stocks and Northrop Grumman fits this criterion perfectly. With a diverse portfolio, the Falls Church, Virginia-based company designs and develops advanced aircraft, defense systems, space systems, and mission solutions to support customers worldwide. 

However, the defense contractor pulled back 14.4% from its 52-week high of $555.57, achieved on Oct. 1. Over the past three months, shares of Northrop Grumman have dipped 7.8%, underperforming the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund’s (XLI) 8.1% gain during the same timeframe.

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Over the longer term, NOC stock is up 1.6% on a YTD basis, lagging behind XLI’s 21.7% return. Moreover, shares of Northrop Grumman have declined marginally over the past 52 weeks, compared to XLI’s 26.1% gain over the same time frame.

Since late July, Northrop Grumman has traded above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. However, starting in mid-November, the stock dipped below its 50-day moving average. By early December, it also fell below its 200-day moving average.

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Despite reporting weaker-than-expected Q3 sales of $10 billion, shares of Northrop Grumman rose 1.4% on Oct. 24 due to its significant earnings beat, with EPS of $7 surpassing expectations. The company also demonstrated strong year-over-year improvements in operating income and segmental growth in key areas like Aeronautics and Mission Systems. Additionally, an increased backlog of $84.8 billion and the raised 2024 earnings guidance to $25.65 per share - $26.05 per share, positively influencing investor sentiment.

In comparison, NOC lagged behind its rival TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG), which has gained 25.6% over the past 52 weeks and a 23.2% rise on a YTD basis.

Despite the stock’s weak price action over the past year, analysts are moderately optimistic about its prospects. The stock has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” from the 18 analysts covering the stock, and the mean price target of $567.55 suggests a premium of 19.3% to current levels.  


On the date of publication, Sohini Mondal did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.